01 / Air & Space

B-21 Raider

US Air Force bomber program with reported flight-test progress, production-capacity expansion and a newly activated integration unit, while arrival at its first operating base remains a future milestone in the reviewed evidence.

Evidence through 14 Sept 2026

The Air Force reported combined developmental and operational test participation in June and a future Ellsworth arrival target in July.

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02 / Autonomy

MQ-28 Ghost Bat

Australian collaborative aircraft development with government-reported demonstrations, contracted aircraft development and participation in a multinational exercise, alongside a separately proposed German industry offer.

Evidence through 10 Jul 2026

Australian Defence reported collaborative demonstrations, additional aircraft-development contracts and subsequent international exercise participation.

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03 / Sensors & Defense

DragonFire

UK laser program with reported trials, an announced delivery contract and continued parliamentary discussion of future naval installation.

Evidence through 19 Aug 2026

The Ministry of Defence has reported trial milestones and a DragonFire delivery contract.

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04 / Sensors & Defense

Sentinel-1C

Civilian Copernicus radar satellite illustrating the separate evidence for launch, calibrated products, constellation coverage and data-product delivery. A September notice records an ETAD processing delay; it is not a current whole-mission outage report.

Evidence through 4 Sept 2026

ESA documents completed launch, first images and the subsequent calibration process.

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05 / Autonomy

Eurodrone

European remotely piloted aircraft development with completed design reviews, a Japanese maritime study agreement and publicly raised concerns about program progress.

Evidence through 1 Jul 2026

Airbus and OCCAR reported completed preliminary and critical design reviews.

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One question to take with you

What additional evidence would you need before describing a promising technology as an operational capability? Start with the development stage, the conditions of the demonstration and what the source leaves unanswered.

A practical guide to reading announcements →